Though conflict was less lethal overall, violent deaths have increased across half the countries in the dataset. ![]() This is an increase of 33% across all regions, with the total number doubling in the Middle East and growing by over a third in South Asia. Organized political violence specifically decreased by about 16%, pointing to the comparatively high level of demonstrations in 2018: close to 36,000 demonstrations occurred last year in 75 countries covered by ACLED. Disorder decreased slightly (by about 2%) from 2017 to 2018. Levels of political violence plateaued in 2018, while demonstrations have surged. Over half of these conflict-affected locations were newly violent as of 2018, and the vast majority of new locations are proximate to previously active locations, indicating the expansion, rather than emergence, of new frontlines. ![]() Nearly every country in ACLED’s coverage area experienced conflict in at least one new location in 2018, meaning that conflict occurred in not just more but also different areas. The number of locations affected by disorder grew by nearly 15% across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East in 2018, with an 11% increase in the geographic spread of organized political violence and a 24.5% increase for riots and protests. The number and type of organized violence and protest events the volume of reported fatalities the proliferation of armed actors and the geographic footprint of violence – all vary markedly across time and location.ĪCLED 2018: The Year in Review surveys and contextualizes these trends, providing a comprehensive look back at a year of evolving disorder. Close-proximity violence against civilians escalated, and half the countries across Africa, South & Southeast Asia, and the Middle East witnessed an increase in reported violent deaths.Ī review of the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) 2018 dataset demonstrates that the global political violence landscape has substantially shifted over the past year, registering distinct threat patterns across each region of ACLED coverage. Political violence and protest surged in more countries than they declined, and the total number of conflict-affected areas rose sharply around the world. While the overall scale of political violence slightly decreased in 2018, the scope expanded. Veuillez trouver ici la version française du sommaire. Roudabeh Kishi and Research Analyst Melissa Pavlik here. ACLED is pleased to release our 2018 annual report surveying disorder patterns over the past year – ACLED 2018: The Year in Review. Access the full report by ACLED Research Director Dr.
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